Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.726321 1.989847 2.279786 2.622425 3.016302 3.454951 3.980640
2025-05-11 1.363621 1.709283 2.121916 2.650731 3.310618 4.107259 5.142811
2025-05-18 1.073872 1.447362 1.925780 2.583410 3.464306 4.604402 6.194060
2025-05-25 0.845475 1.215150 1.719166 2.456323 3.507613 4.954536 7.100993
2025-06-01 0.709905 1.080854 1.615708 2.442718 3.690285 5.504538 8.349506
2025-06-08 0.596812 0.957538 1.504754 2.394730 3.807484 5.967147 9.528606
2025-06-15 0.547415 0.921382 1.515641 2.527808 4.211101 6.904334 11.554571
2025-06-22 0.488335 0.859277 1.474645 2.568604 4.468102 7.638244 13.349877
2025-06-29 0.427850 0.784771 1.401170 2.541686 4.603424 8.182579 14.892469
2025-07-06 0.363701 0.693746 1.285739 2.423181 4.558875 8.406490 15.894581
2025-07-13 0.340149 0.673136 1.292037 2.524041 4.921168 9.392687 18.405880
2025-07-20 0.321803 0.659469 1.308626 2.645033 5.334682 10.520194 21.326421
2025-07-27 0.297628 0.632361 1.298733 2.719076 5.679221 11.584058 24.319723
2025-08-03 0.270739 0.595827 1.265366 2.741558 5.924433 12.487557 27.124502
2025-08-10 0.238429 0.542960 1.191194 2.668129 5.959362 12.967690 29.112984
2025-08-17 0.205666 0.484075 1.095899 2.534824 5.845128 13.116322 30.400294
2025-08-24 0.186292 0.452637 1.056173 2.519613 5.991031 13.847108 33.092394
2025-08-31 0.166851 0.418095 1.004596 2.469464 6.048991 14.387400 35.419270
2025-09-07 0.161510 0.416866 1.030214 2.606280 6.568774 16.058771 40.674577
2025-09-14 0.150828 0.400701 1.017812 2.648108 6.862360 17.231789 44.872590
2025-09-21 0.137446 0.375590 0.979922 2.620230 6.976811 17.982738 48.111280
2025-09-28 0.120881 0.339577 0.909516 2.498008 6.830398 18.061281 49.617008
2025-10-05 0.116525 0.336143 0.923294 2.601926 7.298262 19.777802 55.729527